SPY vs VTV: which ETF won each year?

Yearly returns side by side, one winner per year — dividends included, priced as you'd actually buy them.

SPY tracks the S&P 500 IndexVTV tracks the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index

What did the last 10 years do to $10,000?

You invest $10,000 at the start of the window and touch nothing — dividends reinvested, the running year not counted.

SPY turned it into
$39,466
+14.72% per year on average · 2016–2025
VTV turned it into
$30,183
+11.68% per year on average · 2016–2025
Difference
+$9,283
SPY made more of the same money

SPY vs VTV, year by year

Calendar-year total returns (dividends included) side by side, and who took the crown each year. A dash means the fund did not exist yet.

Years compared
23
where both funds were trading
SPY won
15
years
VTV won
8
years
YearSPYVTVWinner
2026 (so far)+12.71%+14.85%VTV
2025+17.72%+15.27%SPY
2024+24.89%+15.95%SPY
2023+26.18%+9.32%SPY
2022-18.18%-2.09%VTV
2021+28.73%+26.53%SPY
2020+18.33%+2.33%SPY
2019+31.22%+25.66%SPY
2018-4.57%-5.47%SPY
2017+21.71%+17.14%SPY
2016+12.00%+17.10%VTV
2015+1.23%-0.98%SPY
2014+13.46%+13.17%SPY
2013+32.31%+33.09%VTV
2012+15.99%+15.18%SPY
2011+1.89%+1.11%SPY
2010+15.06%+14.54%SPY
2009+26.35%+19.88%SPY
2008-36.80%-35.89%VTV
2007+5.15%-0.12%SPY
2006+15.85%+22.38%VTV
2005+4.83%+7.21%VTV
2004+10.70%+13.85%VTV
2003+28.18%——
2002-21.58%——
2001-11.76%——
2000-9.74%——
1999+20.39%——
1998+28.69%——
1997+33.48%——
1996+22.50%——
1995+38.05%——
1994+0.40%——
1993+8.71%——

SPY vs VTV in plain words

SPY tracks the S&P 500 Index while VTV follows the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index, so they own different slices of the market and their years can look very different. SPY charges 0.0945% a year in running costs and VTV charges 0.03% — VTV is the cheaper fund to hold.

Both funds distribute: dividends land in your account as cash instead of being reinvested automatically. Across the 23 calendar years both funds were trading, SPY finished the year ahead 15 times and VTV 8 times. $10,000 invested at the start of 2016 was worth $39,466 in SPY versus $30,183 in VTV by the end of 2025, dividends reinvested.

Fund facts: SPY vs VTV

FactSPYVTV
FundSPDR S&P 500 ETF TrustVanguard Value ETF
TracksS&P 500 IndexCRSP US Large Cap Value Index
Yearly cost (TER)0.0945%0.03%
DividendsDistributing — dividends paid outDistributing — dividends paid out
Launched22 Jan 199326 Jan 2004
$10,000 investedWhat $10,000 in SPY becameWhat $10,000 in VTV became

How bumpy the ride was: SPY vs VTV

These head-to-head figures use only the 5,707 trading days both funds were listed: 30 Jan 2004 to 6 Oct 2026, roughly 22.6 years.

SPY and VTV swung about equally: annualised volatility of 18.6% for SPY against 18.5% for VTV, with SPY moving 1% or more on 25.1% of trading days and VTV on 22.7%. Both had their worst day on 16 Mar 2020: SPY closed -10.94% and VTV -11.08%.

VTV had the deeper drawdown: it fell -59.27% from its peak on 13 Jul 2007 to a low on 5 Mar 2009, then closed back above the old peak on 1 Feb 2013, 46 months after the low; SPY fell -55.19% from its peak on 9 Oct 2007 to a low on 9 Mar 2009, then closed back above the old peak on 16 Aug 2012, 41 months after the low.

Day to day the two usually move together: the correlation of their daily returns is 0.95, and they closed in opposite directions on 11.8% of the 5,706 days measured. The widest single-day gap came on 13 Oct 2008, when SPY moved +14.52% and VTV +9.30%.

MeasureSPYVTV
Annualised volatility18.6%18.5%
Worst day-10.94% on 16 Mar 2020-11.08% on 16 Mar 2020
Best day+14.52% on 13 Oct 2008+10.77% on 28 Oct 2008
Days moving 1% or more25.1% of days22.7% of days
Deepest drawdown-55.19%-59.27%
Peak to trough9 Oct 2007 → 9 Mar 200913 Jul 2007 → 5 Mar 2009
Back above the old peak16 Aug 2012 · 41 months1 Feb 2013 · 46 months

Years SPY and VTV parted ways

In 9 of the 22 completed calendar years both funds were trading, the two returns ended more than 5 points apart. The widest split was 2023: SPY returned +26.18% and VTV +9.32%, a gap of 16.9 points. They rose together in 17 years, fell together in 3 years and went opposite ways in 2 years.

YearSPYVTVGap (SPY − VTV)
2024+24.89%+15.95%+8.9 pts
2023+26.18%+9.32%+16.9 pts
2022-18.18%-2.09%-16.1 pts
2020+18.33%+2.33%+16.0 pts
2019+31.22%+25.66%+5.6 pts
2016+12.00%+17.10%-5.1 pts
2009+26.35%+19.88%+6.5 pts
2007+5.15%-0.12%+5.3 pts
2006+15.85%+22.38%-6.5 pts

How often SPY beat VTV over any 12 months

Across the 261 rolling 12-month windows since January 2004, measured month-end to month-end, SPY finished ahead in 65.5% of them (171) and VTV in 34.5% (90).

12-month windows
261
month-end to month-end, overlapping
SPY ahead
65.5%
171 of 261 windows
VTV ahead
34.5%
90 of 261 windows

$200 a month into each, 2005–2025

Putting $200 into each fund at the start of every month from January 2005 to December 2025 (252 payments, $50,400 in total) would have grown to $233,574 in SPY and $174,909 in VTV, leaving SPY $58,665 ahead.

OutcomeSPYVTV
Paid in$50,400$50,400
Value at the end of 2025$233,574$174,909
Gain on the money paid in+$183,174+$124,509
Gain in %+363.44%+247.04%

Each payment rides the return of the month it lands in, dividends reinvested. Only calendar years with all twelve months of data for both funds count, so the plan may start later than the shared history.

Frequently asked

Is SPY or VTV better?

Across the 23 calendar years both funds were trading, SPY finished the year ahead 15 times and VTV 8 times. $10,000 invested at the start of 2016 was worth $39,466 in SPY versus $30,183 in VTV by the end of 2025, dividends reinvested. Past returns don't promise future ones — but this is what actually happened.

What is the difference between SPY and VTV?

SPY tracks the S&P 500 Index while VTV follows the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index, so they own different slices of the market and their years can look very different. SPY charges 0.0945% a year in running costs and VTV charges 0.03% — VTV is the cheaper fund to hold. Both funds distribute: dividends land in your account as cash instead of being reinvested automatically.

Which is more volatile, SPY or VTV?

SPY and VTV swung about equally: annualised volatility of 18.6% for SPY against 18.5% for VTV, with SPY moving 1% or more on 25.1% of trading days and VTV on 22.7%. Both had their worst day on 16 Mar 2020: SPY closed -10.94% and VTV -11.08%.

Which had the deeper drawdown, SPY or VTV?

VTV had the deeper drawdown: it fell -59.27% from its peak on 13 Jul 2007 to a low on 5 Mar 2009, then closed back above the old peak on 1 Feb 2013, 46 months after the low; SPY fell -55.19% from its peak on 9 Oct 2007 to a low on 9 Mar 2009, then closed back above the old peak on 16 Aug 2012, 41 months after the low.

How often did SPY beat VTV over a 12-month period?

Across the 261 rolling 12-month windows since January 2004, measured month-end to month-end, SPY finished ahead in 65.5% of them (171) and VTV in 34.5% (90).

What would $10,000 in SPY have become?

$10,000 invested in SPY at the start of 2016 grew to $39,466 by the end of 2025, with dividends reinvested — an average of 14.7% per year.

Related comparisons

More head-to-heads featuring SPY or VTV.

Source: Yahoo Finance daily adjusted closes for the US primary listings, dividends reinvested. Prices through · refreshed 7 Oct 2026, 08:49 UTC. How every number is calculated.