SPY vs VTV: which ETF won each year?
Yearly returns side by side, one winner per year — dividends included, priced as you'd actually buy them.
SPY
VTV
SPY tracks the S&P 500 IndexVTV tracks the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index
What did the last 10 years do to $10,000?
You invest $10,000 at the start of the window and touch nothing — dividends reinvested, the running year not counted.
SPY vs VTV, year by year
Calendar-year total returns (dividends included) side by side, and who took the crown each year. A dash means the fund did not exist yet.
| Year | SPY | VTV | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (so far) | +12.71% | +14.85% | VTV |
| 2025 | +17.72% | +15.27% | SPY |
| 2024 | +24.89% | +15.95% | SPY |
| 2023 | +26.18% | +9.32% | SPY |
| 2022 | -18.18% | -2.09% | VTV |
| 2021 | +28.73% | +26.53% | SPY |
| 2020 | +18.33% | +2.33% | SPY |
| 2019 | +31.22% | +25.66% | SPY |
| 2018 | -4.57% | -5.47% | SPY |
| 2017 | +21.71% | +17.14% | SPY |
| 2016 | +12.00% | +17.10% | VTV |
| 2015 | +1.23% | -0.98% | SPY |
| 2014 | +13.46% | +13.17% | SPY |
| 2013 | +32.31% | +33.09% | VTV |
| 2012 | +15.99% | +15.18% | SPY |
| 2011 | +1.89% | +1.11% | SPY |
| 2010 | +15.06% | +14.54% | SPY |
| 2009 | +26.35% | +19.88% | SPY |
| 2008 | -36.80% | -35.89% | VTV |
| 2007 | +5.15% | -0.12% | SPY |
| 2006 | +15.85% | +22.38% | VTV |
| 2005 | +4.83% | +7.21% | VTV |
| 2004 | +10.70% | +13.85% | VTV |
| 2003 | +28.18% | — | — |
| 2002 | -21.58% | — | — |
| 2001 | -11.76% | — | — |
| 2000 | -9.74% | — | — |
| 1999 | +20.39% | — | — |
| 1998 | +28.69% | — | — |
| 1997 | +33.48% | — | — |
| 1996 | +22.50% | — | — |
| 1995 | +38.05% | — | — |
| 1994 | +0.40% | — | — |
| 1993 | +8.71% | — | — |
SPY vs VTV in plain words
SPY tracks the S&P 500 Index while VTV follows the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index, so they own different slices of the market and their years can look very different. SPY charges 0.0945% a year in running costs and VTV charges 0.03% — VTV is the cheaper fund to hold.
Both funds distribute: dividends land in your account as cash instead of being reinvested automatically. Across the 23 calendar years both funds were trading, SPY finished the year ahead 15 times and VTV 8 times. $10,000 invested at the start of 2016 was worth $39,466 in SPY versus $30,183 in VTV by the end of 2025, dividends reinvested.
Fund facts: SPY vs VTV
| Fact | SPY | VTV |
|---|---|---|
| Fund | SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust | Vanguard Value ETF |
| Tracks | S&P 500 Index | CRSP US Large Cap Value Index |
| Yearly cost (TER) | 0.0945% | 0.03% |
| Dividends | Distributing — dividends paid out | Distributing — dividends paid out |
| Launched | 22 Jan 1993 | 26 Jan 2004 |
| $10,000 invested | What $10,000 in SPY became | What $10,000 in VTV became |
How bumpy the ride was: SPY vs VTV
These head-to-head figures use only the 5,707 trading days both funds were listed: 30 Jan 2004 to 6 Oct 2026, roughly 22.6 years.
SPY and VTV swung about equally: annualised volatility of 18.6% for SPY against 18.5% for VTV, with SPY moving 1% or more on 25.1% of trading days and VTV on 22.7%. Both had their worst day on 16 Mar 2020: SPY closed -10.94% and VTV -11.08%.
VTV had the deeper drawdown: it fell -59.27% from its peak on 13 Jul 2007 to a low on 5 Mar 2009, then closed back above the old peak on 1 Feb 2013, 46 months after the low; SPY fell -55.19% from its peak on 9 Oct 2007 to a low on 9 Mar 2009, then closed back above the old peak on 16 Aug 2012, 41 months after the low.
Day to day the two usually move together: the correlation of their daily returns is 0.95, and they closed in opposite directions on 11.8% of the 5,706 days measured. The widest single-day gap came on 13 Oct 2008, when SPY moved +14.52% and VTV +9.30%.
| Measure | SPY | VTV |
|---|---|---|
| Annualised volatility | 18.6% | 18.5% |
| Worst day | -10.94% on 16 Mar 2020 | -11.08% on 16 Mar 2020 |
| Best day | +14.52% on 13 Oct 2008 | +10.77% on 28 Oct 2008 |
| Days moving 1% or more | 25.1% of days | 22.7% of days |
| Deepest drawdown | -55.19% | -59.27% |
| Peak to trough | 9 Oct 2007 → 9 Mar 2009 | 13 Jul 2007 → 5 Mar 2009 |
| Back above the old peak | 16 Aug 2012 · 41 months | 1 Feb 2013 · 46 months |
Years SPY and VTV parted ways
In 9 of the 22 completed calendar years both funds were trading, the two returns ended more than 5 points apart. The widest split was 2023: SPY returned +26.18% and VTV +9.32%, a gap of 16.9 points. They rose together in 17 years, fell together in 3 years and went opposite ways in 2 years.
| Year | SPY | VTV | Gap (SPY − VTV) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | +24.89% | +15.95% | +8.9 pts |
| 2023 | +26.18% | +9.32% | +16.9 pts |
| 2022 | -18.18% | -2.09% | -16.1 pts |
| 2020 | +18.33% | +2.33% | +16.0 pts |
| 2019 | +31.22% | +25.66% | +5.6 pts |
| 2016 | +12.00% | +17.10% | -5.1 pts |
| 2009 | +26.35% | +19.88% | +6.5 pts |
| 2007 | +5.15% | -0.12% | +5.3 pts |
| 2006 | +15.85% | +22.38% | -6.5 pts |
How often SPY beat VTV over any 12 months
Across the 261 rolling 12-month windows since January 2004, measured month-end to month-end, SPY finished ahead in 65.5% of them (171) and VTV in 34.5% (90).
$200 a month into each, 2005–2025
Putting $200 into each fund at the start of every month from January 2005 to December 2025 (252 payments, $50,400 in total) would have grown to $233,574 in SPY and $174,909 in VTV, leaving SPY $58,665 ahead.
| Outcome | SPY | VTV |
|---|---|---|
| Paid in | $50,400 | $50,400 |
| Value at the end of 2025 | $233,574 | $174,909 |
| Gain on the money paid in | +$183,174 | +$124,509 |
| Gain in % | +363.44% | +247.04% |
Each payment rides the return of the month it lands in, dividends reinvested. Only calendar years with all twelve months of data for both funds count, so the plan may start later than the shared history.
Frequently asked
Is SPY or VTV better?
Across the 23 calendar years both funds were trading, SPY finished the year ahead 15 times and VTV 8 times. $10,000 invested at the start of 2016 was worth $39,466 in SPY versus $30,183 in VTV by the end of 2025, dividends reinvested. Past returns don't promise future ones — but this is what actually happened.
What is the difference between SPY and VTV?
SPY tracks the S&P 500 Index while VTV follows the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index, so they own different slices of the market and their years can look very different. SPY charges 0.0945% a year in running costs and VTV charges 0.03% — VTV is the cheaper fund to hold. Both funds distribute: dividends land in your account as cash instead of being reinvested automatically.
Which is more volatile, SPY or VTV?
SPY and VTV swung about equally: annualised volatility of 18.6% for SPY against 18.5% for VTV, with SPY moving 1% or more on 25.1% of trading days and VTV on 22.7%. Both had their worst day on 16 Mar 2020: SPY closed -10.94% and VTV -11.08%.
Which had the deeper drawdown, SPY or VTV?
VTV had the deeper drawdown: it fell -59.27% from its peak on 13 Jul 2007 to a low on 5 Mar 2009, then closed back above the old peak on 1 Feb 2013, 46 months after the low; SPY fell -55.19% from its peak on 9 Oct 2007 to a low on 9 Mar 2009, then closed back above the old peak on 16 Aug 2012, 41 months after the low.
How often did SPY beat VTV over a 12-month period?
Across the 261 rolling 12-month windows since January 2004, measured month-end to month-end, SPY finished ahead in 65.5% of them (171) and VTV in 34.5% (90).
What would $10,000 in SPY have become?
$10,000 invested in SPY at the start of 2016 grew to $39,466 by the end of 2025, with dividends reinvested — an average of 14.7% per year.
Source: Yahoo Finance daily adjusted closes for the US primary listings, dividends reinvested. Prices through · refreshed 7 Oct 2026, 08:49 UTC. How every number is calculated.